I'll preface this post with two facts.
1. I'm not a fan of either team(though I respect both)
2. I love to handicap & bet on the NFL - though I'm no expert or shark.
I don't really get into the whole "play by play" script prediction - there are just too many variables to process IMO to go down that road with any real sense of consistent accuracy. So yeah - I think its a little "oddly specific" - which doesn't make it absurd - or that your final score is redonkulous.
I don't think there is going to be as much scoring as everyone else thinks, personally. Don't get me wrong - these teams will get their points, but I'm thinking more in the 27-20, or 30 to 17 range.
I have a big lean towards the Colts in this game - I think both offenses are very high powered, however NO's defense is pretty suspect at times, while the Colt's defense has been pretty solid behind the "bend but don't break" philosophy. It always concerns me when a defense gives up lots of points and big plays AT HOME
, like NO's done all post-season.
The Colts defense reminds me a bit of quicksand, the more you panic and get yourself away from your gameplan, the more you're gunna' sink. They KNOW their offense can score, so basically they just try to take away anything "over the top" and let you make mistakes trying to come back.
SO, combine an under-rated Indy defense, with the fact that NO will(I believe) try to run the ball and utilize the screen to a rejuvenated Reggie Bush to control the ball. And I like...
TOTAL: UNDER 57.
COLTS -5(now they are at -6 but I got them at -5 last week)
The super bowl always brings in some fun prop bets(Prop bets are things like "Which team will win the coin flip", "will Peyton Manning throw for more than 3 TDs" etc.
The one I singled in on is "Matt Stover 8pts"
, and I took him going OVER
that total. Take it from a Ravens fan -Matt Stover is money, Hardly ever misses an extra point, and will nail a 42 yarder, in the wind, with the game on the line. I think Indy will score 3 TDs at least
. That means all Matty Ice has to do is score TWO field goals during the entire game. Indy tends to stall early in the the game when they reach the red zone - so I love Matts chances of covering this line.
Those are my predictions - take em' for what they're worth(not much
) Lets hope for a great game with no injuries and no BS referee jobs. Enjoy the game everybody